Antarctica and its resources after 2048

Which scenario do you consider most likely after 2048, when the Madrid Protocol banning resource extraction will be revised?

After 2048, Antarctica may become the stage of the greatest geopolitical game of the 21st century. The Madrid Protocol protects it from exploitation, but soon world powers will be tempted by its riches: oil, gas, coal, and above all nearly 70% of the planet’s fresh water locked in ice. For some, it is a treasure that must remain untouched; for others – the key to humanity’s survival. Advocates of extraction argue the world cannot afford the luxury of “frozen resources,” while opponents warn of ecological apocalypse. Conspiracy theories claim corporations and armies have already divided the continent’s map. Will Antarctica remain protected, or become the spoils of a global race?


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